Hurricanes vs St. John's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
5º
5º
37
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 33 |
4º
|
57% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
57% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 8 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hurricanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 3
HRC
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
HRC
1 - 0
FON
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
HRC
0 - 3
PAR
43%
21%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HRC
5 - 1
HAR
59%
19%
22%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MRI
2 - 5
HRC
39%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St. John's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
JOH
5 - 1
HAR
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
JOH
13%
16%
71%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
JOH
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JOH
4 - 1
QPR
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
JOH
58%
20%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |