Humble Lions vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
36%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humble Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
CAV
1 - 0
LIO
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LIO
0 - 3
POR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
BOY
2 - 2
LIO
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
HIG
51%
28%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LIO
1 - 0
SAV
53%
27%
21%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
WAT
1 - 1
TRI
53%
27%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
0 - 1
MON
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
ARN
2 - 4
WAT
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2012 |
WAT
1 - 1
SPO
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |