HSC 21 vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
JOU
4 - 1
HSC
14%
21%
64%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
HSC
1 - 0
ACH
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
HSC
1 - 1
WKE
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
DET
1 - 2
HSC
66%
19%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HSC
5 - 1
BAB
68%
20%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 4
WKE
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
DET
1 - 1
ALC
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 1
BAB
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GER
1 - 0
ALC
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 2
BEQ
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |