Croatia Third Division South Round 20

Hrvace vs Zmaj Makarska analysis

Hrvace Zmaj Makarska
38 ELO 35
-13.4% Tilt -5.9%
3446º General ELO ranking 28607º
23º Country ELO ranking 156º
ELO win probability
57%
Hrvace
23.3%
Draw
19.7%
Zmaj Makarska

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
Hrvace
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.7%
Win probability
Zmaj Makarska
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hrvace
+89%
-30%
Zmaj Makarska

ELO progression

Hrvace
Zmaj Makarska
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hrvace
Hrvace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2016
SOL
NK Solin
1 - 2
Hrvace
HRV
76%
16%
8%
37 52 15 0
05 Mar. 2016
MOS
Mosor
2 - 1
Hrvace
HRV
35%
26%
39%
38 33 5 -1
28 Nov. 2015
NER
Neretva
3 - 1
Hrvace
HRV
30%
26%
44%
40 31 9 -2
21 Nov. 2015
HRV
Hrvace
3 - 0
NK Otok
OTO
66%
20%
14%
39 27 12 +1
14 Nov. 2015
KAM
NK Kamen
1 - 0
Hrvace
HRV
28%
25%
47%
40 30 10 -1

Matches

Zmaj Makarska
Zmaj Makarska
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2016
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
1 - 0
Neretva
NER
45%
24%
31%
34 34 0 0
05 Mar. 2016
OTO
NK Otok
0 - 1
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
54%
23%
23%
33 31 2 +1
28 Nov. 2015
KAM
NK Kamen
2 - 0
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
48%
25%
28%
34 31 3 -1
21 Nov. 2015
MAK
Zmaj Makarska
1 - 0
Primorac Stobrec
PRI
51%
23%
26%
33 31 2 +1
15 Nov. 2015
ZMI
NK Croatia Zmijavci
2 - 2
Zmaj Makarska
MAK
74%
15%
11%
32 39 7 +1