Lorca FC vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
62%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
REU
3 - 0
LOR
58%
27%
16%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
LOR
1 - 2
ALM
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
RAY
5 - 1
LOR
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 3
HUE
17%
26%
57%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
CUL
2 - 1
LOR
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
NUM
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OVI
2 - 1
SPO
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
2 - 0
GIM
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
SPO
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |