Houston FC vs Twin City Toucans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Houston FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
HFC
0 - 1
CCF
15%
18%
67%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACH
0 - 1
HFC
51%
21%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
TEU
1 - 0
HFC
78%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
HFC
1 - 2
LRR
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
HFC
0 - 1
MIS
15%
18%
68%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Twin City Toucans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
AHF
3 - 2
BVC
40%
22%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
BVC
0 - 0
LRR
60%
19%
22%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
RRO
1 - 2
BVC
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
BVC
0 - 5
MIS
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
LRR
2 - 1
BVC
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |