Horsham vs Whyteleafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
HAS
0 - 3
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
HOR
4 - 1
LEA
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
HOR
2 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
41%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MOL
3 - 2
HOR
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
HOR
1 - 1
DUL
40%
25%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Whyteleafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
WHY
0 - 1
BAS
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 3
WHY
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2004 |
DUL
2 - 3
WHY
76%
16%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
WHY
1 - 0
BAN
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 0
WHY
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -2 |