Horsham vs Molesey FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
HAS
3 - 3
HOR
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
RAM
1 - 0
HOR
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 1
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
CRA
8 - 0
HOR
64%
19%
18%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
SHO
1 - 2
HOR
34%
21%
45%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Molesey FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MOL
3 - 4
PHO
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AYL
4 - 3
MOL
57%
21%
21%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
MOL
4 - 2
EAS
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
LEW
3 - 0
MOL
78%
15%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
GUE
3 - 2
MOL
25%
22%
53%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | -1 |