FA Cup . 1/1024
Global 2-1
Horsham vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KIN
1 - 1
HOR
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
BOG
30%
25%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 0
HAY
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HAY
1 - 1
HOR
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
KIN
1 - 1
HOR
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
3 - 1
KIN
14%
19%
66%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
KIN
3 - 1
BRI
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
KIN
8 - 1
OXH
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
OXH
2 - 2
KIN
10%
15%
75%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | -1 |