Horsham vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
HOR
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
MAI
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SIT
2 - 1
HOR
59%
22%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 4
CRA
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
TOO
1 - 3
HOR
53%
22%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
HER
0 - 1
CHI
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
WHI
1 - 1
HER
63%
19%
17%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
FAV
38%
25%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 1
HER
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HER
0 - 3
MER
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -2 |