Horsham vs Hendon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TON
2 - 0
HOR
68%
18%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
HOR
2 - 3
KIN
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
WEA
3 - 0
HOR
59%
22%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
SUT
2 - 0
HOR
64%
21%
16%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HOR
0 - 0
AVE
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HEN
1 - 0
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 3
HEN
43%
24%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
HEN
0 - 0
HAS
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
HEN
4 - 1
CON
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
TOO
4 - 3
HEN
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |