Non League Premier Isthmian. Jor. 22

Horsham vs Canvey Island analysis

Horsham Canvey Island
36 ELO 42
7.7% Tilt -4.8%
4345º General ELO ranking 6164º
176º Country ELO ranking 305º
ELO win probability
34.1%
Horsham
24.5%
Draw
41.4%
Canvey Island

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
Horsham
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.4%
Win probability
Canvey Island
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horsham
-7%
-27%
Canvey Island

Points and table prediction

Horsham
Their league position
Canvey Island
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
13º
82
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bishops Stortford
86
86
100%
AFC Hornchurch
82
82
100%
Canvey Island
82
82
100%
Aveley
76
76
100%
Cray Wanderers
74
74
100%
Lewes
72
72
100%
Enfield Town
70
70
100%
Horsham
70
70
100%
Hastings United
69
69
100%
Billericay Town
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Carshalton Athletic
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Folkestone Invicta
12º
60
60
12º
100%
Haringey Borough
14º
51
51
13º
0%
Potters Bar Town
13º
51
51
14º
0%
Bognor Regis Town
15º
50
50
15º
100%
Wingate & Finchley
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Margate
17º
45
45
17º
100%
Kingstonian
18º
40
40
18º
100%
Bowers and Pitsea
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Herne Bay
20º
34
34
20º
100%
Corinthian-Casuals
21º
27
27
21º
100%
Brightlingsea Regent
22º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Horsham
Canvey Island
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Horsham
Canvey Island
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horsham
Horsham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2022
HOR
Horsham
2 - 2
Aveley
AVE
32%
24%
44%
35 41 6 0
26 Nov. 2022
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
3 - 0
Horsham
HOR
40%
23%
37%
37 33 4 -2
22 Nov. 2022
HOR
Horsham
2 - 2
Cray Wanderers
CRA
52%
21%
27%
37 35 2 0
19 Nov. 2022
HOR
Horsham
4 - 1
Herne Bay
HER
73%
16%
12%
36 25 11 +1
12 Nov. 2022
BIL
Billericay Town
5 - 3
Horsham
HOR
58%
22%
21%
37 39 2 -1

Matches

Canvey Island
Canvey Island
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Dec. 2022
CAN
Canvey Island
3 - 0
Brightlingsea Regent
BRI
83%
11%
6%
41 23 18 0
06 Dec. 2022
HAS
Hastings United
1 - 1
Canvey Island
CAN
42%
25%
33%
41 40 1 0
03 Dec. 2022
CAN
Canvey Island
3 - 0
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
55%
22%
24%
39 35 4 +2
26 Nov. 2022
BIL
Billericay Town
1 - 0
Canvey Island
CAN
42%
24%
34%
41 37 4 -2
19 Nov. 2022
CAN
Canvey Island
1 - 1
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
60%
21%
19%
41 37 4 0
X