Non League Premier Isthmian. Jor. 31

Horsham vs Bognor Regis Town analysis

Horsham Bognor Regis Town
36 ELO 39
-1.8% Tilt 0.3%
4568º General ELO ranking 5341º
183º Country ELO ranking 237º
ELO win probability
44.3%
Horsham
25%
Draw
30.6%
Bognor Regis Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
Horsham
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.6%
Win probability
Bognor Regis Town
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horsham
-2%
+12%
Bognor Regis Town

ELO progression

Horsham
Bognor Regis Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horsham
Horsham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2020
HOR
Horsham
2 - 0
Potters Bar Town
POT
57%
21%
23%
36 33 3 0
29 Feb. 2020
CAR
Carshalton Athletic
4 - 0
Horsham
HOR
59%
21%
20%
37 40 3 -1
22 Feb. 2020
HOR
Horsham
2 - 0
Cheshunt
CHE
67%
17%
15%
37 27 10 0
08 Feb. 2020
HOR
Horsham
2 - 0
Haringey Borough
HAR
59%
20%
20%
37 33 4 0
05 Feb. 2020
KIN
Kingstonian
1 - 1
Horsham
HOR
55%
23%
22%
37 41 4 0

Matches

Bognor Regis Town
Bognor Regis Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2020
MER
Merstham
2 - 2
Bognor Regis Town
BOG
21%
22%
57%
38 24 14 0
26 Feb. 2020
LEW
Lewes
0 - 1
Bognor Regis Town
BOG
18%
21%
61%
37 23 14 +1
22 Feb. 2020
HAR
Haringey Borough
2 - 1
Bognor Regis Town
BOG
30%
23%
47%
39 31 8 -2
08 Feb. 2020
ENF
Enfield Town
2 - 0
Bognor Regis Town
BOG
43%
24%
33%
41 37 4 -2
04 Feb. 2020
BOG
Bognor Regis Town
3 - 2
Brightlingsea Regent
BRI
83%
11%
6%
41 24 17 0
X