Horsham vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 0
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 2
WEA
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 2
HOR
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
2 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 2
CRA
59%
21%
21%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
BOR
0 - 2
BIL
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
BIL
3 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ASH
5 - 1
BIL
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
BIL
2 - 2
RAM
47%
26%
28%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
BIL
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |