Horsham YMCA vs Egham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 1
CRO
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
HOR
1 - 2
TOO
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 2
HOR
42%
21%
37%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FIS
1 - 2
HOR
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
HOR
0 - 2
THR
77%
14%
8%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Egham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
LAN
4 - 4
EGH
43%
22%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EGH
2 - 2
LAN
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
EGH
1 - 4
CHI
31%
24%
45%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
FCR
3 - 1
EGH
39%
22%
39%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
EGH
1 - 2
ASH
28%
22%
50%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |