AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FCK
2 - 0
ACH
68%
19%
12%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ACH
3 - 1
VEJ
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
LYN
1 - 1
ACH
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SKI
2 - 4
ACH
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
ACH
0 - 3
SON
31%
25%
43%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
AGF
3 - 1
BIF
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
FCN
3 - 1
AGF
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AGF
1 - 2
MID
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
KOL
3 - 3
AGF
12%
18%
70%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
LYN
1 - 2
AGF
15%
21%
64%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |