AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 1
FCK
28%
27%
45%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LYN
1 - 1
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 3
AAB
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
BIF
1 - 4
ACH
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
FCN
1 - 1
ACH
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AGF
0 - 0
BIF
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
SIF
1 - 1
AGF
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
SON
3 - 1
AGF
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
AGF
2 - 2
OBK
32%
25%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
AAB
2 - 1
AGF
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |