Horndean vs Sholing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horndean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 0
HAV
16%
19%
65%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
ALR
0 - 3
HOR
12%
16%
72%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
BOU
86%
10%
5%
|
28 | 15 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
4 - 0
COW
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
HOR
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sholing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
DOR
0 - 3
SHO
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SHO
1 - 0
BAR
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
AFT
0 - 1
SHO
57%
22%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SHO
2 - 1
WIL
66%
20%
15%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
SLI
3 - 0
SHO
34%
24%
43%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |