Horndean vs Hythe & Dibden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horndean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
PAG
0 - 3
HOR
9%
14%
78%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FAR
4 - 3
HOR
11%
15%
74%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
HOR
21%
20%
60%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 1
FAR
83%
11%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ALR
0 - 5
HOR
4%
10%
86%
|
36 | 7 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Hythe & Dibden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HYD
2 - 0
COW
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
HYD
2 - 1
BMR
41%
22%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
STO
3 - 0
HYD
72%
15%
12%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
HYD
6 - 3
PAG
75%
15%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FAR
1 - 0
HYD
40%
21%
39%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |