Horndean vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
20.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horndean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 1
UNI
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
CHR
1 - 1
HOR
8%
14%
78%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 4
HOR
7%
13%
80%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SHA
5 - 2
HOR
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 5
FAR
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 0
ALR
64%
18%
19%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 1
BOU
89%
7%
3%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 5
SHA
23%
20%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
STO
4 - 1
BAS
69%
16%
15%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
3 - 2
MON
49%
21%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |