Horizonte vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 2
HOR
17%
21%
63%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 0
HOR
82%
14%
5%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 2
ICA
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
HOR
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
3 - 2
BOA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
77%
17%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 2
PAR
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
ICA
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AMF
1 - 1
ICA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |