Horitschon vs St. Margarethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-94%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
BAU
2 - 4
HOR
45%
22%
33%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
KLI
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
HOR
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HOR
4 - 1
JEN
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NEU
3 - 1
HOR
77%
14%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
STM
1 - 1
NEU
17%
20%
63%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
STM
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
BAU
2 - 1
STM
66%
18%
17%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STM
0 - 1
KLI
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
STM
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |