Horitschon vs Siegendorf analysis


16	ELO	37
-3.4%	Tilt	5.7%
10637º	General ELO ranking	4422º
215º	Country ELO ranking	57º
ELO win probability

9%

Horitschon

14.9%

Draw

76.1%

Siegendorf

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

9%

Win probability

0.78

Expected goals

4-0

0.1%

5-1

<0%

+4

0.1%

3-0

0.3%

4-1

0.1%

5-2

<0%

+3

0.4%

2-0

1.1%

3-1

0.7%

4-2

0.2%

5-3

<0%

+2

2%

1-0

2.7%

2-1

2.7%

3-2

0.9%

4-3

0.2%

5-4

<0%

+1

6.5%

14.9%

Draw

0-0

3.5%

1-1

7%

2-2

3.5%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

14.9%

76.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+14%

+43%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horitschon

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
11 Aug. 2017	WIN 2 - 2 HOR 64% 18% 18%	16	20	4	0
05 Aug. 2017	HOR 0 - 6 MAT 13% 19% 68%	18	30	12	-2
10 Jun. 2017	HOR 0 - 1 PIN 45% 25% 30%	19	19	0	-1
02 Jun. 2017	LEI 1 - 2 HOR 11% 16% 73%	18	10	8	+1
25 May. 2017	EBE 2 - 2 HOR 25% 23% 52%	19	14	5	-1