Hoogland vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
4º
12º
9º
32
2º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoogland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HOO
0 - 1
AJA
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SJC
1 - 0
HOO
47%
22%
31%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 1
HOO
26%
22%
52%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HOO
1 - 2
JOS
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PUR
3 - 0
HOO
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PUR
1 - 1
ARC
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ARC
1 - 5
SVH
46%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 2
ARC
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ARC
6 - 0
HED
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALP
75%
15%
11%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |