Hongg vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
HON
0 - 3
ESC
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RAP
3 - 3
HON
80%
13%
7%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ZUG
2 - 1
HON
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
HON
1 - 0
GCB
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HON
2 - 2
WIN
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FCW
3 - 2
LUG
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCB
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
LUG
85%
11%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 3
FCM
46%
23%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MEN
2 - 0
LUG
62%
22%
16%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |