Hongg vs FC Basel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
70.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
FCZ
1 - 1
HON
70%
18%
13%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
HON
1 - 1
MUT
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LAU
3 - 3
HON
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HON
2 - 2
SOL
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
MUN
2 - 1
HON
53%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Basel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 1
DEL
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
7 - 1
SVS
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FCZ
2 - 0
BAS
19%
20%
61%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
MUT
83%
11%
5%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
LAU
2 - 2
BAS
12%
17%
71%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |