Hong Kong vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1982 |
CHN
2 - 0
HKG
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1980 |
HKG
1 - 0
AUS
26%
26%
48%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | +2 |
| 30 Jun. 1980 |
CHN
7 - 0
HKG
88%
8%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1980 |
HKG
0 - 2
JPN
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1980 |
HKG
1 - 3
JPN
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1982 |
CHN
3 - 3
MAR
69%
17%
14%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
CMR
2 - 1
MAR
50%
22%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
MAR
0 - 2
CMR
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SEN
2 - 0
MAR
29%
24%
46%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 2
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |