Hong Kong U23 XI vs Lee Man Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
57.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
10º
10º
44
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 1
HON
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BIU
3 - 0
HKU
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
HKU
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
EAS
4 - 0
HKU
69%
19%
11%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
8 - 0
HKU
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lee Man Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 1
EAS
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
RES
0 - 4
WAR
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WTP
0 - 3
WAR
21%
24%
55%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SDI
0 - 2
WAR
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
HON
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |