HK Sapling vs Pegasus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
HON
0 - 3
EAS
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
SDI
1 - 0
HON
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
HON
0 - 3
RFH
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
WTP
3 - 2
HON
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 0
HON
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pegasus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
SUN
3 - 2
WAR
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
EAS
3 - 0
SUN
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BIU
1 - 3
SUN
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 2
SDI
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 2
ISK
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |