Hønefoss vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
RAU
1 - 3
HON
56%
21%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
HON
1 - 0
TRO
58%
23%
20%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
HOD
2 - 1
HON
37%
24%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
HON
0 - 2
MAN
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
POR
4 - 3
HON
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 3
IKS
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
BRY
4 - 0
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
SDF
22%
22%
56%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MOS
2 - 1
VAR
63%
21%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RAU
0 - 1
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |