Norwegian Fourth Division Round 21

Hønefoss vs Hødd II analysis

Hønefoss Hødd II
49 ELO 25
10.2% Tilt 7.2%
3417º General ELO ranking 38867º
50º Country ELO ranking 342º
ELO win probability
85.6%
Hønefoss
10.3%
Draw
4.1%
Hødd II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
Hønefoss
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4.1%
Win probability
Hødd II
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hønefoss
+8%
-52%
Hødd II

Points and table prediction

Hønefoss
Their league position
Hødd II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
29
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eidsvold TF
75
75
100%
Hønefoss
73
73
100%
Elverum
52
52
100%
HamKam II
35
35
0%
Molde FK II
35
35
0%
Funnefoss / Vormsund
35
35
0%
Brumunddal
35
35
0%
Florø
30
30
100%
Hødd II
29
29
100%
Förde
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Spjelkavik
11º
27
27
11º
100%
Volda
12º
25
25
12º
100%
Sogndal II
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Raufoss II
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hønefoss
Hødd II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hønefoss
Hødd II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hønefoss
Hønefoss
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2023
HAM
HamKam II
2 - 2
Hønefoss
HON
18%
21%
61%
49 31 18 0
09 Sep. 2023
HON
Hønefoss
5 - 1
Spjelkavik
SPJ
85%
11%
4%
49 28 21 0
02 Sep. 2023
ELV
Elverum
1 - 3
Hønefoss
HON
38%
24%
38%
47 45 2 +2
26 Aug. 2023
HON
Hønefoss
5 - 0
Funnefoss / Vormsund
FVI
81%
13%
6%
47 29 18 0
20 Aug. 2023
MOL
Molde FK II
0 - 4
Hønefoss
HON
21%
22%
58%
46 33 13 +1

Matches

Hødd II
Hødd II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Sep. 2023
FVI
Funnefoss / Vormsund
2 - 1
Hødd II
HOD
59%
19%
22%
26 31 5 0
07 Sep. 2023
HOD
Hødd II
4 - 5
Förde
FOR
31%
20%
49%
26 33 7 0
03 Sep. 2023
SPJ
Spjelkavik
2 - 0
Hødd II
HOD
34%
22%
44%
27 26 1 -1
28 Aug. 2023
HOD
Hødd II
0 - 4
HamKam II
HAM
62%
18%
20%
29 27 2 -2
21 Aug. 2023
RAU
Raufoss II
3 - 3
Hødd II
HOD
17%
17%
67%
29 19 10 0