Hønefoss vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
MJO
4 - 0
HON
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
HON
1 - 0
KRI
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
BRY
3 - 2
HON
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
HON
1 - 0
ULL
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
NES
0 - 1
HON
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
HAM
1 - 3
FFK
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
FFK
0 - 0
MJO
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
TRO
1 - 1
FFK
36%
26%
39%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
FFK
2 - 1
KRI
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
BRY
1 - 2
FFK
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |