Honduras vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
CRI
1 - 2
HND
45%
24%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
HND
3 - 1
SLV
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1999 |
HND
1 - 0
CRI
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
HND
5 - 1
BLZ
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 37 | 45 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
HND
2 - 1
SLV
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CRI
1 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
GTM
1 - 0
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
BOL
1 - 2
GTM
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |