Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
50.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 0
HNP
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 3
MOT
16%
23%
61%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 0
VIC
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RES
2 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
VID
1 - 0
RES
35%
27%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
RES
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
RES
5 - 3
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RES
1 - 1
RSO
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |