Honduras Progreso vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
JUT
4 - 1
HNP
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
HNP
3 - 5
PLA
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RSO
3 - 0
HNP
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
SOC
60%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
CON
52%
23%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RES
1 - 0
PLA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
RES
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
RES
3 - 2
OLI
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 0
RES
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RES
2 - 2
JUT
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |