Honduras Progreso vs Lobos de la UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 0
HNP
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
RES
5 - 0
HNP
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
33%
27%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
MAR
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 2
RDM
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
RSO
2 - 3
JAG
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
JAG
2 - 3
MOT
16%
25%
60%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
VID
1 - 1
JAG
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |