Honduras Progreso vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 1
HNP
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HNP
4 - 1
OLI
34%
29%
38%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
RES
1 - 2
HNP
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
RES
2 - 4
HNP
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HNP
2 - 1
PLA
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
MOT
5 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
PLA
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 0
MOT
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |