Honduras Progreso vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
RSO
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
HNP
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
PLA
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
HNP
2 - 3
VID
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 4
RDM
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 1
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
RDM
1 - 2
RES
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
OLI
5 - 1
RDM
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RSO
0 - 2
RDM
27%
27%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |