Honduras Progreso vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
51.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 2
HNP
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
HNP
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 3
MAR
17%
24%
60%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
RDM
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VID
0 - 0
MAR
21%
25%
53%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
4 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |