FC 08 Homburg vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
24.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
HOM
0 - 1
ROT
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
VER
2 - 4
HOM
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
PRE
0 - 0
HOM
40%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1996 |
HOM
3 - 0
WUP
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
AAA
1 - 3
HOM
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
GUT
4 - 1
PRE
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
BNE
1 - 4
GUT
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1996 |
GUT
2 - 1
FCB
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
GUT
1 - 1
SAA
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
SAL
1 - 3
GUT
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |