Holywell vs Penrhyncoch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
CPD
2 - 2
HOL
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HOL
2 - 1
GUI
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HOL
5 - 1
RTW
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
AIR
8 - 3
HOL
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
5 - 6
RTW
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penrhyncoch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PEN
5 - 0
LLA
19%
19%
62%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 2
PEN
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
GRE
1 - 1
PEN
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
MOL
10%
16%
74%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
RTW
21%
21%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |