Holyhead Hotspur vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 0
HOL
54%
22%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 5
HOL
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
4 - 1
LLA
84%
10%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 2
HOL
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 0
RTW
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
POR
3 - 4
DEN
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 5
POR
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
POR
3 - 5
HOL
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
RHY
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
CAE
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -2 |