Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
4 - 1
ERF
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 3
HOL
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 0
SGD
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
COT
0 - 2
HOL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
STU
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OSN
1 - 1
MSV
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ERF
3 - 1
OSN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
OSN
0 - 4
ARB
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
OSN
0 - 1
KÖL
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PRE
2 - 0
OSN
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |