Holstein Kiel vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
VFR
2 - 4
HOL
56%
21%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
HOL
5 - 2
VFB
84%
10%
6%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
BRE
5 - 3
HOL
79%
12%
9%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1963 |
LUB
1 - 3
HOL
35%
23%
43%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
HOL
2 - 2
HAN
79%
13%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1963 |
VFB
3 - 2
LUB
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
HOL
5 - 2
VFB
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
VFB
0 - 2
EBT
49%
21%
29%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
HSV
1 - 1
VFB
91%
7%
3%
|
41 | 71 | 30 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
AHA
2 - 4
VFB
74%
15%
12%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |