Holstein Kiel vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
HOL
2 - 0
SVS
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BVB
5 - 0
HOL
77%
15%
9%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
FCN
1 - 1
HOL
26%
24%
50%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
OSN
1 - 3
HOL
17%
22%
62%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
HEI
1 - 0
HOL
35%
25%
41%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
SGF
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
F95
2 - 0
STP
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
STP
4 - 0
WUR
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ERZ
1 - 3
STP
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
STP
2 - 0
EBT
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |