3. Liga Round 28

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden analysis

Holstein Kiel Dynamo Dresden
56 ELO 59
-8.2% Tilt 6.1%
194º General ELO ranking 371º
23º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
39.6%
Holstein Kiel
28.6%
Draw
31.8%
Dynamo Dresden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
Holstein Kiel
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.8%
Win probability
Dynamo Dresden
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2010
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 2
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
40%
28%
33%
56 59 3 0
21 Apr. 2010
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Eintracht Braunschweig
EBT
33%
29%
38%
56 64 8 0
17 Apr. 2010
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
3 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
60%
23%
17%
57 66 9 -1
13 Apr. 2010
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 2
Bayern München II
BAY
29%
27%
44%
57 63 6 0
10 Apr. 2010
SVS
Sandhausen
1 - 1
Holstein Kiel
HOL
55%
23%
22%
56 60 4 +1

Matches

Dynamo Dresden
Dynamo Dresden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2010
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
0 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
59%
23%
18%
61 56 5 0
17 Apr. 2010
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
0 - 3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
44%
26%
31%
62 63 1 -1
13 Apr. 2010
UNT
Unterhaching
0 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
46%
28%
27%
62 61 1 0
10 Apr. 2010
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
2 - 0
Ingolstadt 04
ING
42%
27%
31%
61 64 3 +1
07 Apr. 2010
SGD
Dynamo Dresden
3 - 2
B. Dortmund II
BOR
49%
25%
26%
61 58 3 0