Holstein Kiel vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
ROS
0 - 0
HOL
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
HES
1 - 2
HOL
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 0
HES
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
HOL
3 - 0
VHG
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HOL
2 - 1
HAV
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SAA
1 - 2
WEH
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 1
SAA
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAA
1 - 2
HEI
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
WEH
3 - 1
SAA
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SAA
1 - 1
ROS
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |