Holstein Kiel vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 3
HOL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 0
SGD
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
COT
0 - 2
HOL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 1
STU
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
ROS
0 - 4
HOL
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ERF
3 - 1
OSN
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ERF
1 - 0
PRE
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
SGD
0 - 1
ERF
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ERF
2 - 0
COT
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
STU
2 - 2
ERF
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |