Holstein Kiel vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
BSV
2 - 1
HOL
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
HOL
0 - 0
ERF
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
WER
3 - 0
HOL
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
HOL
2 - 0
HAM
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
STP
2 - 2
HOL
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
LUB
0 - 0
CZJ
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
CHE
1 - 4
LUB
13%
21%
66%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
LUB
2 - 1
PRE
72%
18%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
HER
2 - 1
LUB
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
LUB
2 - 0
BSV
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |