Holstein Kiel vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
OFC
2 - 3
HOL
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
HOL
4 - 0
WER
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
EBT
2 - 1
HOL
47%
26%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
HOL
0 - 1
WAC
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
SSV
2 - 0
HOL
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
ING
0 - 1
BOR
46%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
OSN
5 - 2
ING
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
ING
5 - 0
ERF
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
ING
1 - 2
AUG
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ING
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |